{"id":1514,"date":"2021-10-05T23:34:37","date_gmt":"2021-10-05T12:34:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nepf.weblogs.anu.edu.au\/?p=1514"},"modified":"2024-05-22T14:27:00","modified_gmt":"2024-05-22T04:27:00","slug":"economics-driving-chinas-interest-in-egypt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nepf.org.au\/index.php\/economics-driving-chinas-interest-in-egypt\/","title":{"rendered":"Economics Driving China&#8217;s interest in Egypt"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On 30 June, a Chinese State Construction and Engineering Company (CSCEC) work crew lifted into place <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.xinhuanet.com\/english\/2021-07\/01\/c_1310038580.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">a steel skyway connecting two office buildings<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in the Central Business District (CBD) of Egypt\u2019s New Administrative Capital \u2013 an engineering feat that serves as a fitting metaphor for the two countries\u2019 rapidly developing commercial relationship<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In a 27 May press conference in Cairo marking the 65<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">th<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> anniversary of the establishment of bilateral relations, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/gate.ahram.org.eg\/News\/2749268.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Chinese Ambassador Liao Liqiang noted<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that China has been Egypt\u2019s main commercial partner for eight consecutive years, with the trade volume exceeding $14.5 billion and direct investments reaching $190 million in 2020.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although Sino-Egyptian economic cooperation is not new, its scope widened after 2000, following the initiation of China\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.uscc.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/Research\/GoingOut.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Going Out Strategy<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and in the context of Egypt\u2019s mounting socioeconomic problems. Economic ties received a strong boost with the launching of China\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/english.www.gov.cn\/news\/top_news\/2015\/03\/28\/content_281475079055789.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.arabdevelopmentportal.com\/sites\/default\/files\/publication\/sds_egypt_vision_2030.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Egypt Vision 2030<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The growth of economic ties between China and Egypt are informed by complementary visions for the future, underpinned by the personal authority of ambitious political leaders, driven by convergent business interests, and buttressed by compatible governing regimes.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The impetus for guiding the relationship to new heights has come from the top, with both President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi and Chairman Xi Jinping spearheading the effort. El-Sisi has made six trips to Beijing and has met seven times with his Chinese counterpart since becoming president in 2014. His initial visit, in December 2014, resulted in the elevation of bilateral ties to a <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/eg.china-embassy.org\/eng\/zxxx\/t1223757.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">comprehensive strategic partnership<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.chinanews.com\/gn\/2016\/01-23\/7729187.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Xi\u2019s January 2016 state visit to Egypt<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> cemented efforts to advance the bilateral relationship.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Egypt is important to China economically because of its strategic location <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2014<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> a critical transit point for trade flowing through the Suez Canal, of which China is the largest user. In addition, Egypt is a market of 100 million people, a major regional security provider allied with Saudi Arabia and the UAE (two valued Chinese economic partners), and emerging as a major natural gas hub in the eastern Mediterranean. Among MENA countries, it appears that China views Egypt as being especially well suited to serve as a manufacturing hub, from which to tap into African and Mediterranean markets. Chinese companies have been flocking to Egypt for that very purpose.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Since the mid-2000s, Egypt has awarded <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aei.org\/china-global-investment-tracker\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">contracts across a wide range of sectors to numerous Chinese enterprises<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> such as CITIC, Hutchison Ports, China State Shipbuilding, Power Construction Corp., Sinoma, and Sinopec. Integrated land and maritime transport and trade infrastructure lies at the heart of China-Egypt economic cooperation. Egypt was the third largest <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.egypttoday.com\/Article\/3\/104770\/Egypt-3rd-largest-projects-market-in-MENA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">projects market<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in the MENA region in 2020, and CSCEC the biggest contractor in terms of contracts under execution. Project financing has been obtained with the help of loans from the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/english.ahram.org.eg\/News\/330776.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Export-Import Bank of China (EximBank), the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalconstructionreview.com\/news\/china-state-construction-seals-22bn-loan-egypts-ne\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">China Export and Credit Insurance Corporation<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Suez Canal Economic Zone has been integrated with the BRI. Chinese companies such as China Harbour Engineering Company Ltd (CHEC), the Sino Hydro Group Ltd, and Tianjin Economic-Technological Development Area (TEDA) have played a major role in the construction of the Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCEZ). In turn, their success has attracted other enterprises to Egypt, such as China Jushi Co., Ltd., the world\u2019s largest fiberglass manufacturer.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">China and Egypt have developed a pragmatic relationship based on strict observance of non-interference in one another\u2019s domestic political affairs coupled with state-led economic structures and agendas. Both sides appear inclined not only to demonstrate goodwill, but to turn it into good business, as illustrated by Egypt\u2019s show of support in the early stage of the Covid-19 outbreak in China and the latter\u2019s subsequent donation of a vaccine shipment to Egypt, which was followed by an <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2018-12-16\/china-s-20-billion-new-egypt-capital-project-talks-fall-through\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">agreement with Sinovac<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> to locally produce their vaccine and export the surplus.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Egypt is seeking to diversify its foreign relations, not develop an exclusive partnership with China. Meanwhile, China is ramping up engagement not just with Egypt but with countries throughout the wider MENA region, including <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/FP_20200720_china_mediterranean_ghafar_jacobs.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">across North Africa<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As China and Egypt have grown closer, the relationship has come under more intense scrutiny, generating as many questions and uncertainties as highlights. There are signs of rising expectations that each side might be reluctant or find difficult to meet, such as Cairo\u2019s <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.al-monitor.com\/originals\/2021\/07\/china-ready-intervene-nile-dam-crisis#ixzz6zeYlk62M\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">reported outreach to Beijing to mediate<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> the <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) crisis.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Given major Chinese investments in Ethiopia, as in Egypt, Beijing might be reluctant to become too deeply embroiled in the dispute, lest its engagement alienate one side or the other. The stakes for China in strategic balancing between the two countries are significant, as Ethiopia is a key partner in China\u2019s approach to the Gulf-Horn of Africa while Egypt is the linchpin of the North Africa-Mediterranean component of the BRI. Important, too, is Beijing\u2019s broader interest in drawing both countries out of the Western orbit.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mounting Egyptian debt could prompt Chinese banks to decline to extend new loans, or as occurred in at least one instance, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.al-monitor.com\/originals\/2020\/01\/chinese-banks-preconditions-impede-first-tranche-loan-egypt.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">insist on payment guarantees and delay releasing them<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Although Egypt\u2019s exports to China have risen in recent years, the trade balance remains sharply skewed in China\u2019s favor. The overall benefit of Chinese investments in mega-development projects on Egyptian job creation and private sector growth is unclear, at best. So, too, is whether the New Administrative Capital will benefit Egypt as a whole, including its poor, or primarily serve the economic interests of the military establishment and affluent Egyptians.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The New Administrative District is an apt metaphor for an extensive and rapidly developing bilateral relationship between China and Egypt, built on a foundation of economic cooperation that marries Beijing\u2019s commercial and geopolitical ambitions with Cairo\u2019s developmental goals and regional status and influence.&nbsp; <\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>The views expressed in the Near East Policy Forum are those of the authors and do not represent the views of the Near East Policy Forum or any of its partner organisations.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On 30 June, a Chinese State Construction and Engineering Company (CSCEC) work crew lifted into place a steel skyway connecting two office buildings in the Central Business District (CBD) of Egypt\u2019s New Administrative Capital \u2013 an engineering feat that serves as a fitting metaphor for the two countries\u2019 rapidly developing commercial relationship. In a 27 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":42,"featured_media":1512,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_gspb_post_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[86751,25801],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1514","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-egypt","category-economics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nepf.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1514","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nepf.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nepf.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nepf.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/42"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nepf.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1514"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nepf.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1514\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nepf.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1512"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nepf.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1514"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nepf.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1514"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nepf.org.au\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1514"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}